ilmscore | US Recession Indicator Predictions
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Recent Predictions

Total: 2
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 2
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
A 0.5 percentage point rise in the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate from the previous year signals an imminent or ongoing recession.
"if the unemployment rates 3month moving average rises half a percentage point from its previous year..."
Aug 6, 2024
Pending
The leading economic index suggests the US business cycle will worsen in seven months.
"seven months from now the business cycle will get worse"
Nov 21, 2022
Pending